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by SimonP
Wed Sep 16, 2020 9:18 pm
Forum: Snow / Land
Topic: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind
Replies: 2230
Views: 213969

Re: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind

Exactly. The science is what it is. The political argument should be over how we mitigate and/or adapt. Unfortunately, many politicians try to deny reality and ignore the experts rather than formulating evidence-based policy. This is why the US has 25% of all COVID-19 cases despite only having 4% of...
by SimonP
Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:57 pm
Forum: Snow / Land
Topic: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind
Replies: 2230
Views: 213969

Re: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind

I didn't actually write the above statement, palmbeacher did but quoted me by mistake. I do however agree with the statement. Our generation will not see the worst effects, it's our grand-children I am worried about. Temperatures will keep increasing until net greenhouse gases are reduced to zero. E...
by SimonP
Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:15 pm
Forum: Snow / Land
Topic: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind
Replies: 2230
Views: 213969

Re: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind

Current climatological models can be made to show warming or cooling, depending on inputs within the allowable margin of error for those inputs. So no, current climatological models have not benefited from supercomputing or anything we thought we figured out in the 1800's. Sure the theory seems sou...
by SimonP
Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:06 pm
Forum: Snow / Land
Topic: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind
Replies: 2230
Views: 213969

Re: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind

I am by no means an expert on this but are you not discounting the impact that the sun has on the temperature / weather on this planet and the fact that greenhouse gases have no impact on its output? Solar flares, solar cooling, global drift, etc. all are well beyond our control and their effects w...
by SimonP
Sun Sep 13, 2020 11:29 pm
Forum: Snow / Land
Topic: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind
Replies: 2230
Views: 213969

Re: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind

The standard for understanding something is being able to make future predictions accurately. Climatology is very much a field of study in its infancy where we are not even sure of all of the variables affecting it. And even recent predictions have fallen flat on their face. False. The key drivers ...
by SimonP
Sun Sep 13, 2020 9:57 pm
Forum: Hydrofoil
Topic: Off Topic - America's Cup Sailing - Foiled Monohulls
Replies: 1063
Views: 82537

Re: Off Topic - America's Cup Sailing - Foiled Monohulls

Is the Hauraki Gulf usually this calm? I read they went with monohulls to better handle the seas of the Hauraki Gulf, but every video I've seen has been fairly flat water. Spring-time is mostly westerlies and off-shore winds. Both boats seem to be practicing on the inner harbour courses for some re...
by SimonP
Sun Sep 13, 2020 9:50 pm
Forum: Snow / Land
Topic: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind
Replies: 2230
Views: 213969

Re: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind

This is a crazy discussion, the climate isn't political, it's a physical system that responds to well-understood inputs. Two of the three most recent mass extinction events were due to runaway greenhouse gas warming, the end-Triassic and the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum. Most of our staple foods...
by SimonP
Sun Sep 13, 2020 9:37 pm
Forum: Hydrofoil
Topic: Has a quick go on a J shapes cruiser foil
Replies: 3
Views: 805

Re: Has a quick go on a J shapes cruiser foil

Funny you should post this as me and and a mate did exactly the same thing yesterday except that I own the J-shapes and my mate has a home-built foil. The Cruzer is bang on 800cm² from my measuring. His home-built looks about 1200 cm² and is a prone foiling setup so was super stable, slow, less smoo...
by SimonP
Sat Sep 12, 2020 9:13 am
Forum: Snow / Land
Topic: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind
Replies: 2230
Views: 213969

Re: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind

No. Fire intensity is a function of fuel load and weather. Extreme weather probabilities are being affected by climate change. Fuel load can be diminished by active forest management. The Australians have learnt that the window for controlled burning is reducing as the climate warms and drought seve...
by SimonP
Fri Sep 11, 2020 2:30 am
Forum: Snow / Land
Topic: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind
Replies: 2230
Views: 213969

Re: climate change / unpredictable weather/wind

double post. So let's show a new temperature reconstruction https://scx2.b-cdn.net/gfx/news/hires/2020/highfidelity.jpg Note the non-linear scale. https://phys.org/news/2020-09-high-fidelity-earth-climate-history-current.html T. Westerhold el al., "An astronomically dated record of Earth's climate a...

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