Look at the number of deaths that would have been prevented had a helmet been worn by the victim, as this thread was begun because of one of those.bragnouff wrote: ↑Sat Jun 19, 2021 1:50 amIf the event has a very tiny probability, it could well be that it's only likely to happen after, say a million sessions. In which case, your Large Number of 4000 isn't Large enough to be meaningful... Rule of the game is to understand that probability of a severe event, and reduce it to a level where it is very unlikely to happen despite a real-life large number of sessions.
That severe event could be a combination of events. The wind suddenly increased AND you were close to rocks AND your QR malfunctioned AND you were upside down AND...
No one really has the answer to that.
Depends on what the PPE is, and how it is used.
Sorry but your use of the theorem is not correct and the rest is just gobbledegook...Sports statisticians do have answers and how that begins is with understanding the field of play. The reason why I say 'gobbledegook' to the above is not to offend but simply to imply that the rules of the game in any sport are not to focus on disaster but to elevate performance to such a level where those errors are greatly reduced.bragnouff wrote: ↑Sat Jun 19, 2021 1:50 amThat example of rolling a dice was just to illustrate base concepts of probabilities.
Law of Large Numbers will indeed state that in the upcoming 4000 sessions, it is quite likely that the shit is gonna hit the fan somehow. But at the same time, the odds of the shit hitting the fan on your next session are not affected in any way by what happened or didn't happen in your previous thousands of sessions.
If the event has a very tiny probability, it could well be that it's only likely to happen after, say a million sessions. In which case, your Large Number of 4000 isn't Large enough to be meaningful... Rule of the game is to understand that probability of a severe event, and reduce it to a level where it is very unlikely to happen despite a real-life large number of sessions.
That severe event could be a combination of events. The wind suddenly increased AND you were close to rocks AND your QR malfunctioned AND you were upside down AND...
No one really has the answer to that.
What does any of that which you have googled? made up? Overheard from an idiot etc remotely have to do with ISO related questions?Matteo V wrote: ↑Sat Jun 19, 2021 4:05 pmDepends on what the PPE is, and how it is used.
But nearly everyone in the PPE industry acknowledges that no single risk reduction method should be relied upon. Multiple methods always have a higher reduction of risk. So for pulley to rely on being careful alone, is more risky than being careful and wearing a helmet.
Here's my suggestion. Use the "Friends and Foes" feature. I've added only two people to my "Foes" list in the past seven years. One is "Air Bunny" (remember??). Guess who the other one is. Makes reading the forum soooooo much more enjoyable.vannibombonato wrote: ↑Sat Jun 19, 2021 9:28 pmHow do you guys think this topic will ever end?
I'm no administrator, but there's a reason a "lock" function exists for internet forums.
Just a suggestion.
It's just that personally i don't see any value in anything that is being added on this topic anymore, as my opinion is that everybody has already said again and again whatever they had to say. Myself included.FLandOBX wrote: ↑Sat Jun 19, 2021 9:41 pmHere's my suggestion. Use the "Friends and Foes" feature. I've added only two people to my "Foes" list in the past seven years. One is "Air Bunny" (remember??). Guess who the other one is. Makes reading the forum soooooo much more enjoyable.vannibombonato wrote: ↑Sat Jun 19, 2021 9:28 pmHow do you guys think this topic will ever end?
I'm no administrator, but there's a reason a "lock" function exists for internet forums.
Just a suggestion.
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